Una riflessione di Fareed Zakaria in occasione degli annunciati cambi ai vertici dell'apparato di sicurezza nazionale statunitense.
"(…) The goal should instead be preparedness. Government agencies should be readying policymakers and bureaucrats for sharp changes in international, regional and national patterns. They should be imaginative about the possibilities of sudden shifts and new circumstances and force policymakers to confront the scenarios in advance. That is what has distinguished the most successful private-sector firms in managing crises.
Contrary to the mythology rampant in Washington and across the country, banks such as JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs did not “know” the housing market would collapse in 2007. They could have made that prediction as easily in 2005 or 2006, bet on it and lost lots of money, as many firms did. What JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs and others that weathered the financial crisis did was to carefully manage their risk — being prepared for sharp shifts in the market. Rather than betting on continuity — which is the default mechanism for people and organizations — they prepared for the possibility of a sudden shock (…)"