Gergo mutuato dal contesto anglosassone, indica un prodotto intelligence con cui viene segnalato un pericolo imminente per la sicurezza nazionale.

da “Glossario intelligence: il linguaggio degli organismi informativi“.

A notification of impending activities that may adversely affect U.S. national security interest or military forces. For U.S. intelligence community, it is those measures taken, and the intelligence information produced, by the intelligence community to avoid surprise to the President, the NSC, and the armed forces of the United States by foreign events of major importance to the security of the United States. It includes strategic but not tactical warning.

da “Words of Intelligence“, pag. 263.