E’ il titolo di un Carnegie Report sulla situazione afghana e soprattutto sulle strategie da adottare, segnalatomi gentilmente da Daniele67 qualche giorno fa.
A mio avviso è un lavoro interessante, a prescindere dalle personali opinioni riguardo alla necessità o meno di impegnarsi in Afghanistan.
Sostiene l’autore:
A mio avviso è un lavoro interessante, a prescindere dalle personali opinioni riguardo alla necessità o meno di impegnarsi in Afghanistan.
Sostiene l’autore:
"
The failure of the U.S. and British strategy as demonstrated by the summer 2009 offensive in Helmand province is accelerating the development of two potentially disastrous scenarios in Afghanistan. First, the war is spreading to the North, which had been relatively quiet beforehand.Second, the Afghan government continues to lose legitimacy in the eyes of the population, especially among Pashtuns. As a result, even if the right number of Afghan forces existed, a quick “Afghanization” of the war is not a realistic goal. Given that the Taliban are woven into the fabric of the Pashtun countryside in the South and East and therefore cannot be removed, the current U.S. strategy inevitably involves high casualties for few results. Instead, the International Coalition, with its limited resources and diminishing popular support, should focus on its core interests: preventing the Taliban from retaking Afghan cities, avoiding the risk that al-Qaeda would try to reestablish sanctuaries there, pursue a more aggressive counterinsurgency strategy in the North, and reallocate its civilian aid resources to places where the insurgency is still weak. That way,they can make a difference."