Se lo chiedono Geoffrey Kemp e John Allen Gay.
dic
20
20 dicembre 2012 - 3:00 pm | by Silendo | 3 Comments »
Tags: iran, medio-oriente, nucleare e risorse energetiche, stati uniti.
dic
20
I nuovi numeri delle due riviste sono disponibili qui e qui.
E’ disponibile anche l’ultimo Adelphi dell’IISS intitolato: “Asia’s naval expansion: An arms race in the making?“.
20 dicembre 2012 - 2:00 pm | by Silendo | No Comments »
Tags: afganistan, cina, intelligence, iran, stati uniti, turchia.
dic
03
3 dicembre 2012 - 8:00 pm | by Silendo | 3 Comments »
Tags: affari strategici, hezbollah, iran, libano, medio-oriente, russia, siria, stati uniti.
nov
30
Il CSIS ha pubblicato un report che analizza il ruolo della Russia e della Cina nella competizione strategica tra Stati Uniti ed Iran.
Facilmente sintetizzato in questo passaggio:
China and Russia are key players in US-Iranian strategic competition. As major world powers and permanent members of the UN Security Council, China and Russia play an important role in shaping sanctions and other aspects of international action in dealing with Iran’s nuclear program. Leaders in Moscow and Beijing focus on the influence, security and economic gains to their respective leaderships, and pursue international relationships from that standpoint. At present, external pressure from the US and its allies is not able to make either China or Russia give up all ties to Iran, and they manipulate such ties to Iran as a bargaining chip in dealing with the US, as well as the European and Arab Gulf states.
Both countries seek to maximize the benefits they can gain from the ongoing competition by refusing to commit to either player. Both nations have an interest in preventing or at least forestalling open hostility that will upset this balancing act, as any conflict could have an impact on their economies and seek to use their support of either side to advance their own positions.
30 novembre 2012 - 5:30 pm | by Silendo | 1 Comment »
Tags: cina, iran, medio-oriente, russia, stati uniti.
nov
27
27 novembre 2012 - 11:30 am | by Silendo | No Comments »
Tags: iran, israele, medio-oriente, nucleare e risorse energetiche, stati uniti.
nov
26
Qualche settimana fa il Saban Center della Brookings Institution ha organizzato una simulazione su uno scenario di crisi tra Stati Uniti ed Iran riguardo al programma nucleare di Teheran. Qui la sintesi.
26 novembre 2012 - 7:00 am | by Silendo | No Comments »
Tags: iran, israele, medio-oriente, nucleare e risorse energetiche, stati uniti.
nov
22
La IAEA, l’agenzia internazionale per l’energia atomica, ha diffuso il 16 novembre il report periodico sul programma nucleare iraniano. Qui l’analisi dell’ISIS e qui un articolo del New York Times.
22 novembre 2012 - 10:30 am | by Silendo | 5 Comments »
Tags: iran, nucleare e risorse energetiche.
nov
04
Secondo un’inchiesta giornalistica israeliana – in onda domani – nel 2010 il Primo Ministro Netanyahu ed il Ministro della Difesa Barak avrebbero ordinato al Mossad ed alle Forze Armate di prepararsi per un attacco all’Iran ricevendo un sostanziale rifiuto.
[...] According to the “Uvda” investigation, Dagan came out sharply against the move in the 2010 meeting, telling Netanyahu and Barak: “You are likely to make an illegal decision to go to war. Only the cabinet is authorized to decide this.” Meanwhile, associates of Ashkenazi explain that the former IDF chief was concerned that raising the alert level would “create new facts on the ground,” leading to a war.
Defense Minister Ehud Barak said in an interview to the “Uvda” program that Ashkenazi responded to Netanyahu at the time, saying that the IDF was not ready, and that he did not have the operational capacity to carry out the order. Barak claims in the interview that, in contrast to Ashkenazi and Dagan’s positions, raising the alert level to “P Plus” does not necessarily entail going to war.[...]
4 novembre 2012 - 10:53 pm | by Silendo | 5 Comments »
Tags: iran, israele, medio-oriente, nucleare e risorse energetiche.
ott
15
L’aggiornamento dello studio di Cordesman (CSIS): “Iran and the Gulf Military Balance: “The Conventional and Asymmetric Dimensions“.
15 ottobre 2012 - 8:00 am | by Silendo | 1 Comment »
Tags: affari strategici, iran, medio-oriente, stati uniti.
ott
05
Solo un think tank americano poteva partorire questo utilissimo report sulle principali issues in materia di sicurezza nazionale.
CNAS National Security Guide to the 2012 Presidential Election
5 ottobre 2012 - 9:23 pm | by Silendo | No Comments »
Tags: afganistan, cina, cyber-mf, iran, nucleare e risorse energetiche, pakistan, russia, stati uniti.
ott
04
Cyber attackers have targeted Iranian infrastructure and communications companies, disrupting the Internet across the country, a state official was quoted as saying on Wednesday. [...]
“Yesterday we had a heavy attack against the country’s infrastructure and communications companies which has forced us to limit the Internet,” Mehdi Akhavan Behabadi, secretary of the High Council of Cyberspace, told the Iranian Labour News Agency.
“Presently we have constant cyber attacks in the country. Yesterday an attack with a traffic of several gigabytes hit the Internet infrastructure, which caused an unwanted slowness in the country’s Internet,” he said.
“All of these attacks have been organized. And they have in mind the country’s nuclear, oil, and information networks.” [...]
Leggendo questa notizia della Reuters mi è tornato in mente (chissà come mai…) il concetto di “swarm” che Edwards (anche qui), Arquilla e Romfelt espressero in due famosi saggio della Rand Corporation tra gli anni Novanta ed i Duemila. Quando internet non era ancora diventato cyber.
4 ottobre 2012 - 6:22 am | by Silendo | 25 Comments »
Tags: cyber-mf, iran, israele, nucleare e risorse energetiche, stati uniti.
ott
03
3 ottobre 2012 - 1:47 pm | by Silendo | No Comments »
Tags: intelligence, iran, israele, nucleare e risorse energetiche, stati uniti.
ott
02
Per una di quelle fortunate coincidenze astrali che capitano una volta all’anno, a distanza di 24 ore l’uno dall’altro sono stati pubblicati Survival, la bella rivista dell’IISS, e The Washington Quarterly, la rivista del CSIS.
Per cui: buona lettura!
2 ottobre 2012 - 9:40 pm | by Silendo | 12 Comments »
Tags: affari strategici, afganistan, cina, iran, stati uniti.
ott
01
1 ottobre 2012 - 8:00 am | by Silendo | 5 Comments »
Tags: iran, israele, minkiate, nucleare e risorse energetiche.
set
27
Dal New York Times di oggi:
An internal report prepared by Israel’s Foreign Ministry calls for an additional round of international sanctions against Iran, an Israeli official confirmed on Thursday, in what appeared to be a rare Israeli acknowledgment that there might still be time to try to stop the Iranian nuclear program by means other than military action.
Details of the report were leaked to Haaretz and were published on Thursday morning as the prime minister of Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu, was on his way to New York to address the United Nations General Assembly. An Israeli official who is familiar with the report, but was not authorized to speak about it to it publicly, confirmed the points that appeared in Haaretz.
The Foreign Ministry report states that the international sanctions already imposed on Iran are having a deep effect on the country’s economy, according to the official, and may, according to some assessments, also be affecting the stability of the Iranian government. But the sanctions have not yet persuaded the government in Tehran to suspend its nuclear drive. Therefore, the report concludes that “another round of sanctions is needed,” the official said.[...]
27 settembre 2012 - 10:26 pm | by Silendo | 6 Comments »
Tags: iran, israele, nucleare e risorse energetiche, stati uniti.