"Russia is using the concept to both plant doubt in Central Europe about Germany’s commitment to the Intermarium and to give Berlin the sense that diplomacy is an effective tool in dealing with Moscow. The more Russia can convince Germany that Berlin can manage Russian aggression in Europe, the less Berlin will support the Intermarium’s efforts to counter Russia with military alliances. Russia thus wants to give Germany the confidence that it can handle Moscow. Germany sees the EU-Russia Political and Security Committee as a diplomatic success and proof of its influence over Moscow, whereas the Intermarium countries see it as proof of Germany’s accommodationist attitude toward Russia.
(…) the overall balance between the United States and Russia in Central Europe will depend on another country: Germany. The question at this point will be the extent to which Germany is willing to see the Intermarium draw in a U.S. military presence. Like Russia, Germany does not want to see a U.S.-dominated continent, especially when Berlin is strong enough to command the region politically and economically. Nor does Germany want to see a more aggressive Russia in a few years. Berlin has limited options to prevent either scenario, but it could use NATO and EU structures to stall the process — though it would cause an identity crisis for both institutions. It will be important to watch how the United States and Russia use Germany against each other in the fight over Central Europe"